Monday, July 20, 2020

Members in the News: Lusk, Richards, Davis, Liu, Mintert, Koontz, Ortega, Goetz, Anderson, Swinnen, Kumar, Kolodinsky, Malone, Olson... et al.

Jayson Lusk, Purdue University
Kinks Linger in America’s Food System With Pigs Still Piling Up
By: Bloomberg & Claims Journal - Jun 22, 2020 & July 9, 2020
“There’s a lot of big companies that produce a lot, and what’s not obvious to people is that you need those sorts of economies of scale to produce affordable food,” said Jayson Lusk, head of agricultural economics at Purdue University. “People are talking about smaller, regional scale, but would some sort of food system like this be more resilient to the type of shocks we’ve seen? I don’t think so. No system can respond that quickly to that type of demand shock.”
Read more on: Bloomberg & Claims Journal

Jayson Lusk, Purdue University
Timothy Richards, Arizona State University
Alison Davis, University of Kentucky
John Anderson, University of Arkansas
Pandemic disruptions: Impacts on ag markets, health care
By: AgriNews - July, 2020
Two demand shocks occurred at the same time, but going in opposite directions when COVID-19 became a significant problem for the United States in March.
Read more on: AgriNews

Yangxuan Liu, University of Georgia
Forecast Remains Cloudy For The Cotton Market
By: Cotton Farming - July 15, 2020
Since the first diagnosis of COVID-19, the spread of the pandemic worldwide has negatively affected global economic growth. According to the latest release by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), global economic growth will decline by 6% to 7.6% in 2020, depending on whether there is a second wave of infections.
Read more on: Cotton Farming

James Mintert, Purdue University
Farmer sentiment rebounds amid COVID-19 concerns
By: Dairy Business - July 14, 2020
“This month’s survey was conducted after the USDA announced details regarding the Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP),” said James Mintert, the barometer’s principal investigator and director of Purdue University’s Center for Commercial Agriculture. “A more favorable spring planting season combined with assistance from CFAP helps explain this month’s improvement in farmer sentiment, yet a majority of producers believe additional economic assistance will be needed in 2020.”
Read more on: Dairy Business

Stephen Koontz, Colorado State University
COVID Disruptions are Passing and Drought Impacts are Emerging
By: Feedlot Magazine - July, 2020
The COVID impacts on cattle and beef markets are not all behind us but the majority of the disruptions appear to have passed. The exceptions are, and that will remain for some time, the cattle on feed inventories, the number of long-fed cattle, and fed animal slaughter weights. Details on the cattle on feedstocks and flows for last month will have to wait until two weeks.
Read more on: Feedlot Magazine

David Ortega, Michigan State University
Food Economist on the growth of plant-based meat alternatives
By: CGTN America via YouTube - July 11, 2020
"I don’t see these plant-based alternative as a threat to the industry. I think they are a welcome addition to the marketplace for consumers. It is worth keeping in mind that consumers in the U.S. consume a significant amount of convention meat. The average American eats roughly 220 pounds of poultry, beef, and pork. That’s about a hundred kilograms on average per year. So I don’t see these alternative meat products displacing meat consumption and there has been an increased in interest from consumers in light of some of the disruptions that we’ve seen in the meat industry with regards to COVID," says David Ortega.
Read more on: CGTN America via YouTube

Stephan Goetz, Pennsylvania State University
Researchers to create a roadmap for fostering successful agritourism enterprises
By: Mirage - July 10, 2020
In addition to Schmidt, project team members from Penn State include Stephan Goetz, professor of agricultural and regional economics and director of the Northeast Regional Center for Rural Development (NERCRD); Sarah Rocker, a postdoctoral scholar at NERCRD; Suzanna Windon, assistant professor of agricultural and extension education; and Jaqueline Schweichler, attorney at the Penn State Center for Agricultural and Shale Law.
Read more on: Mirage

John Anderson, University of Arkansas

Johan Swinnen, IFPRI

Anjani Kumar, IFPRI
The Agriculture Sector Has What It Takes to Drive Post-COVID-19 Economic Recovery
By: The Wire - July 7, 2020
The nationwide lockdown to contain the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in India has brought economic activity to a complete standstill. During these times of crisis, when most sectors in the economy are in a slump, the agriculture sector has risen to become a beacon of hope and has the promise of leading the country’s economic recovery.
Read more on: The Wire

Jane Kolodinsky, University of Vermont
Trey Malone, Michigan State University
Soaring food prices: People say they're paying more amid COVID - here's why
By: Ipsos - July 15, 2020
Jane Kolodinsky, Professor and Chair of the Department of Community Development and Applied Economics at University of Vermont, said different sectors have had different experiences, and in some cases supply chains have not been able to keep up with the hoarding behaviour of consumers.
Trey Malone, Assistant Professor at the Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics at Michigan State University, said production capacity for meat may have returned to reasonable levels, but that doesn’t mean the supply chain has entirely rebounded.
Read more on: Ipsos

Frayne Olson, North Dakota State University
Edward Balistreri, Iowa State University
Wendong Zhang, Iowa State University
John Beghin, University of Nebraska-Lincoln
Pandemic, China Trade Deal Fuel Farmer Doubts
By: PEW & Bozeman Daily Chronicle - July 10, 2020
"When we start getting into our harvest seasons is typically when China comes in and buys large amounts of U.S. agriculture products," said Frayne Olson, a crops economist at North Dakota State University Extension in Fargo. "There's still time for them to meet those targets but they're going to have to get at it."
According to a paper published earlier this year in Iowa State University's Agricultural Policy Review, the payments outweighed the total net effects of tariffs on some state economies.
Read more on: PEW & Bozeman Daily Chronicle

Trey Malone, Michigan State University
Seeing beefed up prices at Michigan grocery stores and restaurants? Here’s why
By: Michigan Live - July 9, 2020
"Everything down to the beer you drink has been wildly affected by these disruptions over the last few months," said Trey Malone, assistant professor in the Department of Agricultural Food and Resource Economics at Michigan State University.
Read more on: Michigan Live

Scott Swinton, Michigan State University
Songqing Jin, Michigan State University
Titus Awokuse, Michigan State University
Nicole Mason-Wardell, Michigan State University
Melissa McKendree, Michigan State University
Aaron Staples, Michigan State University
Agricultural & Applied Economics Association
AFRE's Legacy of Leadership in AAEA Continues
By: Michigan Ag Connection - July 14, 2020
Faculty and a graduate student in Michigan State University's Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics (AFRE) have been elected to leadership positions throughout the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA). The AAEA is the leading professional organization in the field and home to the American Journal of Agricultural Economics (AJAE).
Read more on: Michigan Ag Connection

Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Nick Paulson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Carl Zulauf, The Ohio State University
Soybean harvest price of $8.36 predicted
By: Dispatch Argus - July 9, 2020
We developed a statistical model that projects the 2020 harvest price for soybeans, given a national soybean yield and average of May futures prices. This projection represents the harvest price used in crop insurance. The current U.S. yield estimate from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is 49.8 bushels per acre.
Read more on: Dispatch Argus

Ellen Bruno, University of California, Berkeley
Richard Sexton, University of California, Davis
Daniel Sumner, University of California, Davis
Ag at Large: Report explains empty shelves
By: The Sentinel - July 9, 2020
If you’ve wanted to hear more than “panic buying” as an explanation for many empty grocery shelves recently, a new report from agricultural economists at the University of California may provide just the answer you wanted – or needed. 
Read more on: The Sentinel

Amy Hagerman, Oklahoma State University
Courtney Bir, Oklahoma State University
OSU survey showcases public thoughts about economic recovery from pandemic
By: The Claremore Daily Progress - July 13, 2020
“Oklahoma officials at every level need to know what people think about perceived economic recovery challenges rather than relying on assumptions, and the study helps with that,” said Amy Hagerman, OSU Extension agricultural and food policy specialist. “Participation was voluntary. In all, we had 796 Oklahomans respond, representing 71 of the state’s 77 counties.”
“Alternatives to in-person meetings need to be in every public and private agency’s plan of action for the foreseeable future,” Bir said. “It’s important to note this research represents a snapshot in time. As the number of cases changes, and if more rural areas are more greatly impacted, then people may begin to feel differently about their economic outlook. We plan to continue to provide information as needed.”
Read more on: The Claremore Daily Progress

Dawn Thilmany-McFadden, Colorado State University
Sarah Low, University of Missouri
Marcelo Castillo, USDA-ERS
How Does a Pandemic Affect Local Bakeries and Breweries
By: FOX34, Wine Diva Lifestyle, One News Page, WRCB TV, WBOC, DoubleT, KAKE, Morning News, Fox 21 Delmarva, Finanzen, 93.7 The Eagle, Erie News Now, SNN News, NewsBlaze, Magic 106.5, A Rain of Thought, AngelaCARES, Inc. WICZ, Seed Daily, The Evening Leader, Fat Pitch Financials, The Saline Courier, The Post and Mail, Winslow, Evens, & Crocker, Inc., Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Chronicle Journal, NewsOK, Daily Times Leader, The Inyo Register, The Pilot News, Business Insider, The Community Post, The Observer News Enterprise, Starkville Daily News, Decatur Daily Democrat, Antlers American, The Kane Republican, myMotherLode, Wapakoneta Daily News, The Ridgway Record, BENZINGA, WizWire Express, & Spoke  - July 15, 2020
In a new article released in AEPP "Local Foods Go Downstream: Exploring the Spatial Factors Driving U.S. Food Manufacturing," AAEA President-Elect, Dawn Thilmany McFadden along with Sarah Low, Marcelo Castillo, Maria Kuhns, and Martha Bass ask if 'foodie culture' influences the location of food and beverage manufacturing start-ups? And what place-based factors affect start-ups?

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