Presidents come and go: The AAEA is resilient and thriving.
David Zilberman, professor, agriculture and resource economics | August 13, 2019
After three failed campaigns, I was elected and served as president
of the AAEA from July 2018 to July 2019. I expected the job to be about
organizing meetings, fund raising, and writing letters to the
membership, but I encountered a much more significant challenge. The US
president’s budget proposed to cut 40% of the Economic Research
Service’s (ERS) budget, which was followed by the administration
suggesting that the ERS move out of Washington. We’ve now learned ERS’s
proposed future location is Kansas City. ERS Economists are valuable
members of our association. I realized that for the ERS employees, such a
relocation would present a significant hardship to them and their
families. Many of these experienced and dedicated public servants are
not likely to move, which would weaken the capacity of the agency. I am
concerned that the current administration may see some of ERS’s
independent findings as inconvenient and, without prodding, would not be
committed to restoring its research capacity. ERS provides essential
information about domestic and global agricultural markets, food
security and nutrition, rural livelihoods, estimates of costs of
alternative policies, and climate risk. This information is crucial for
smart decision-making by both the public and private sectors. In the
grand scheme of things, the ERS is a small agency and the information it
provides consistently generates outsized benefits. While a move from
Washington may be justified as a cost-saving activity, it has to be done
carefully to keep the agency productive. For this reason, the AAEA
joined with other groups to challenge the move. It now seems likely that
ERS is moving to Kansas City, so we have redirected our effort to
ensuring ERS has the resources and capacity it needs to serve the nation
effectively. The ERS situation made me appreciate the fact that
professional and academic organizations need to be politically active
for the sake of their members and society at large. Indeed, the AAEA has
now committed itself to lobby and better inform policymakers and the
public about the value of economic research generally and agricultural
research in particular.
Mentoring is another set of activities that aims to empower our
members. We have two mentoring workshops for young and mid-career
professionals. In one, we try to impart tacit knowledge about writing
publishable research and proposals, planning one’s career, and balancing
work and life. In the other, the emphasis is on helping young
professionals improve the relevance, timeliness, and impact of their
research. The most important outcome may be the networking and the sense
of community that intergenerational exchange provides. Of course,
established members of our profession don’t have all the answers, and
the world is ever changing. Still, young members can benefit from
learning from our successes as well as our mistakes.
Probably the most enjoyable aspect of being president is the
selection of keynote speakers for our annual meeting. My aim is to
select individuals who are excellent speakers, outstanding scholars, and
bring different perspectives on issues of concern to our members. Pam
Ronald, a world-class biologist who developed flood-tolerant rice
varieties, made some of the complexities of transgenic varieties and
gene-editing quite accessible to us, revealing why she may be the
leading public educator about agricultural biotechnology.
One field where I feel Applied Economics Departments have underinvested
is economic history, and a single talk by Alan Olmstead proved this
point. Many of us believe that computers and the Internet are the
greatest inventions in human history, but Olmstead challenged us to step
back and consider penicillin and synthetic fertilizer. He demonstrated
that some of our key assumptions may not always hold. Olmstead brought
evidence that mechanization mostly increased yields, while it was new
varieties that saved labor. He also argued that there had been much
value to “Big Government” activities that eliminated animal diseases,
even overcoming objections from local communities. His current research
on slavery highlights how much pain it inflicted for relatively limited
economic gains.
We also had two other excellent plenary talks. David Card gave an
informative and brilliant exposition of two alternative methods of
estimation, the model-based approach, and data-based approach. These
strategies are complementary and expand the capacity of economic
research in the era of big data. Keith Coble, our incoming president,
gave an inspirational address emphasizing that the knowledge we generate
is a public good supported in no small part by taxpayers. To meet our
mission, we need to combine relevance and elegance in our
investigations. The plenary talks are the appetizers and dessert of the
meeting – a wonderfully diverse buffet of presentations by the members
being main course.
The diversity in our program is emblematic of how much our
association has evolved. Starting more than one hundred years ago as a
merger between farm economists and farm managers, its agenda expanded to
include analysis and design of agricultural and food policies. In the
process, agricultural economics became some of the first and most
distinguished practitioners of quantitative methods, statistics, and
econometrics. They used “Big data” before it was cool and machine
assisted. They developed creative ways to estimate supply, demand,
productivity, and a bewildering array of parameters to calibrate a
growing universe of microeconomic theory. The post-world war II era has
seen increased research emphasis on international trade, agricultural
finance, from the 1950s and 60s, economic development. Research and
education efforts emphasizing environmental and resource economics and
agribusiness emerged in the 1970s. The start of the new Millennium has
seen a growing emphasis on food and nutrition, the bio-economy, energy,
health, sustainability, and climate change. As a result of these
developments, agricultural and applied economists are covering an
ever-expanding portfolio of research topics-each with its own agenda and
priorities. Members who are employed by government, industry and
research, teaching, and extension universities face different
challenges. Thankfully, the association has adapted to their needs by
becoming more diverse technically, intellectually, and above all
demographically. To accommodate this diversity, the Association allows
the establishment of sections by members with common interests and
members participate in the joint activities of the whole association as
well as those of their sections. These modular sections will allow the
Association to accommodate and include more diverse groups in the
future.
I have been frequently asked why we should have a separate
association or departments of agricultural and applied economics.
Agricultural and applied economists are the same, but different than
mainstream economists[1].
We use and extend economic models and decision-making frameworks.
However, we integrate them with models and findings of other
disciplines. We tend to be in professional schools focusing on research
problems of agriculture, energy, environment, and health. We should not
aim to apply only methodologies developed by the mainstream economics
profession. We tend to have an empirical, multidisciplinary emphasis,
incorporating details, knowledge, and even methods from other
disciplines. I would not have won the Wolf Prize in Agriculture if my
work did not apply basic principles of irrigation and pest control to
empirically relevant economic models. I have learned the truth in Keith
Coble’s observation that, compared to most other economists – applied
economists give greater weight to relevance than to elegance. Because we
seek out recognizable socially relevant challenges in real-world
problems, we have developed novel methods and advanced research
priorities that have influenced the economics discipline as a whole. The
contributions of applied economists to disciplinary mainstream include
models of technology adoption and diffusion, methods to evaluate
nonmarket amenities and adversities, and experimental approaches to
assessing and managing risk.
Our last generation has witnessed a growing emphasis on rigorous
impact assessments of public policies and science-based decision making
(despite having a Climate change-denying US president). This bodes well
for applied economics, as we continue to integrate knowledge from the
biophysical and social sciences to elucidate the challenges humanity
faces and improve public and private responses. Despite an unpredictable
political climate , I am optimistic about of the future of the AAEA,
and trust that our talented membership can adapt to the changing needs
and opportunities facing us.
[1]
See my presidential address (Zilberman, David. “Agricultural Economics
as a Poster Child of Applied Economics: Big Data & Big Issues.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 101, no. 2 (2019): 353-364.) for more details.
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