Monday, August 3, 2026

Members in the News: August 3, 2026

 Ricky Volpe, California Polytechnic State University

Forget Gasoline: Why the Price Surge in This Under the-Radar Fuel is the Real Threat to the U.S. Economy

By: Market Watch – July 18, 2026

“Our growing and harvesting sectors are very, very energy intensive, and they get hit hard when energy costs go up… People already have seen some price impacts from higher energy costs — as well as higher costs for fertilizer, whose inputs also largely come from the Middle East.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Market Watch


Ricky Volpe, California Polytechnic State University
David Ortega,
Michigan State University

Buying Less, Trading Down: High Grocery Prices Will Hurt Produce Growers

By: Capital Press – July 29, 2026

“The shift toward processed food is challenging but farms and other businesses can adapt and take advantage of the change in consumer habits. Substitutions happen and this presents opportunities.”

“When budgets are tight, food is one area where households have some flexibility, so consumers adjust at the margins. They switch to store brands, trade down from fresh to canned or frozen and prioritize who gets what.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Capital Press


David Ortega, Michigan State University

  • Taylor Farms Produce Is Sold Everywhere, Making Outbreak Difficult to Escape
    By: Bloomberg – July 24, 2026
  • How Michigan Became the Epicenter of the Cyclosporiasis Outbreak
    By: Crains Detroit – July 24, 2026

Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

Simpler Applications Can Lift Welfare Benefit Uptake

By: Basis Point Insight – August 1, 2026

“Governments in India face a recurring problem: many eligible citizens do not claim benefits that could materially improve their welfare. New research offers a rigorous and intuitive explanation. The application process itself can become the barrier.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Basis Point Insight


Michael Langemeier, Purdue University

Impact of Leverage on Rates of Return of Crop Farms

By: Successful Farming – July 27, 2026

“Increasing financial leverage will increase expected returns as long the marginal returns from the use of loans exceed the cost of borrowing. In favorable economic times, higher leverage can improve financial performance and stimulate farm growth. However, in unfavorable economic times, leverage can cause business performance to deteriorate rapidly. Thus, higher leverage may increase expected returns and financial risk. Given this risk/return relationship, what is the optimal level of farm debt?”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Successful Farming


Gregory Ibendahl, Kansas State University

Rising fuel costs cause concern for Cortez Transportation

By: WIBW – July 26, 2026

“The fluctuating fuel costs don’t come as much of a surprise… Gas prices react very strongly to what the oil price does, there’s hardly any delay at all to where we get the most usually before you start seeing something happen. So this jumping around in gas prices to me is not unusual because we see the oil price doing the same thing.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: WIBW


Bradley Lubben, University of Nebraska - Lincoln

Economist Warns of Growing Uncertainty in Ag Policy

By: Brownfield Ag News – July 27, 2026

“While there’ve been necessary updates to the farm safety net, it doesn’t address larger issues. The future directions of the ag economy and drivers on the policy front – those are the things that aren’t in the farm bill that have the most significant questions ahead.” 

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield Ag News


Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

Volatile Fertilizer Market Could Change How Farmers Buy Inputs

By: Brownfield Ag News – July 28, 2026

“There could be dramatic swings between now and spring. Spreading out the input decisions just like you would for spreading out sales, is a good thing and more important now than a year ago.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield Ag News


Hope Michelson, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

How AI Can Unlock Africa’s AfCFTA Potential

By: News Central TV – July 28, 2026

“Uninsured risks continue to affect farmers’ willingness to invest in improved farming methods and technologies. And there’s a lot of uninsured risk… when farmers lack protection such as crop insurance, they become less willing to invest in inputs and techniques that could improve productivity.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: News Central TV


Elizabeth Canales Medina, Mississippi State University

From Price Spikes To a Cyclospora Outbreak: Lettuce is Hitting Some Restaurants Hard

By: Fast Company – July 30, 2026

“Unusually hot weather in Arizona early in the year caused crops to mature too early. That caused big supply gaps until California production began in late April. Fuel costs, which increased after the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran and Iran blocked most oil tankers from leaving the Persian Gulf, have also been an issue. Lettuce is especially perishable and requires energy for cooling from the time it’s picked to the time it’s sold. The cold chain needs to be maintained. Cooling and transporting it is very important.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Fast Company


Lee Schulz, Ever.Ag

U.S. Hog Inventory Edges Lower in June

By: High Plains Journal – July 31, 2026

“Market hog inventories by weight category provide an indication of anticipated slaughter levels during the six months following June 1. All four USDA market hog inventory estimates were below the average pre-report expectations.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: High Plains Journal



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Monday, July 27, 2026

Members in the News: July 27, 2026


Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

Climate Policy Needs Carbon Pricing, Not Just Green Subsidies

By: Basis Point Insight -  July 20, 2026

 “Fighting climate change is difficult because it is a global problem that requires coordinated action across countries, industries, and individuals with differing interests and priorities. The benefits of reducing greenhouse gas emissions are often long-term and widely shared, while the costs of mitigation are immediate and concentrated on specific sectors and communities.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Basis Point Insight


Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Cornell University

Heat Stress Hits Dairy Quality as Well as Quantity, Study Finds

By: Sentient Media – July 20, 2026

“This matters to the dairy industry because farmers get paid not by the overall weight or volume, but are instead priced using a formula that takes those nutritional components into account. As climate change increases the intensity and duration of heat events, industrial dairies with more capital tend to be better equipped to handle the added strain on their margins.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Sentient Media


Simon Somogyi, Texas A&M University
Yong Liu, Texas A&M University
Weifang Liang, Texas A&M University

Expect Stable Meat Prices This Summer

By: National Hog Farmer – July 21, 2026

“Now with New World screwworm, that’s going to cause issues that we haven’t seen yet. We could see higher prices without those historically steady imports from Mexico.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: National Hog Farmer


Brian Roe, The Ohio State University

Weight Loss Drugs Are Leading to Less Spending at Ohio Restaurants, OSU Study Finds

By: WOSU – July 23, 2026

 “We found that consumers, once they started the medication, were cutting back in terms of their dine-out experience. We found, for example, about $37 less spending per week on dining out among current users of the drugs than those who were former users of the drug. And most of them said that their spending went down by more than 10% after they started their medication.”

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Read more on: WOSU


Taejun Mo, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

Self-Driving Trucks Could Upend America’s Freight Economy

By: Earth.com – July 23, 2026

“Self-driving technology has great potential to rewrite the economic geography of the U.S., which in and of itself will create new winners and losers… If a certain geographic area were a major transportation hub in the days before autonomous trucking, it’s possible that it would not be a major hub in the future.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Earth.com


Becca Weir, Pennsylvania State University
Barry Ward, The Ohio State University

Financial Health of American Farms Strained' By Many Factors

By: Allied News – June 23, 2026

"It's challenging to make high-level generalizations about the farm economy because each region and agricultural sector faces different challenges. Our current market conditions could change quickly with adverse weather during the remaining crop production season or an intensified livestock disease outbreak. At the moment, the overall financial health of American farms is strained."

“The biggest risks often come from weather or climate patterns. We look at the last 100 years; margin and profitability have always been central in farmers' minds, and part of that has to do with weather, especially in crop production and indirectly, livestock production.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Allied News



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Monday, July 20, 2026

Members in the News: July 20, 2026

 Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

The Hidden Cost: Why Carbon Taxes Are Unpopular

By: Basis Point Insight – July 14, 2026

“Economists generally favour carbon taxes because they are a relatively efficient way to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. By putting a price on carbon, a carbon tax forces firms and consumers to account for the environmental damages associated with fossil fuel use. In theory, this leads to lower emissions at the lowest overall cost to society.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Basis Point Insight


Richard Volpe, California Polytechnic State University

Traditional Supermarkets Are Struggling. Kroger Hopes its Giant Eagle Merger Will Help

By: Marketplace – July 16, 2026

”That's a format that has been losing ground for quite some time in the food retail landscape in the U.S., and at a pretty dramatic rate.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Marketplace


Carl Zulauf, The Ohio State University
Henrique Monaco,
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Gary Schnitkey,
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

Minding Ag's Business Blog

By: Progressive Farmer DNT – July 14, 2026

“Market losses are more common than market profits in the U.S. field-crop sector… In stretches when farmers were profitable, the safety net increased cumulative returns by 70% in the period from 2007-2013 and 41% in 2021 and 2022. The authors argue this represents a fundamental shift in the role of the safety net, which they describe as "supercharging profits" rather than simply protecting against losses.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Progressive Farmer DNT


Elizabeth Canales Medina, Mississippi State University

A Perfect Storm of Factors is Driving Up US Produce Prices, But Shoppers Can Still Save

By: The Conversation – July 16, 2026

“From tomatoes and berries to lettuce and peppers, shoppers are feeling sticker shock in the produce aisle. Recent headlines have focused in particular on soaring tomato prices. They spiked by roughly one-fifth from June 2025 to June 2026, according to consumer price data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: The Conversation


David Ortega, Michigan State University

Could the Cyclospora Outbreak Affect Grocery Prices?

By: News Nation – July 17, 2026

“A drop in demand for fresh produce, for example, could lead to localized price declines or discounts for specific products. Because these goods are highly perishable, even modest demand shifts can move prices quickly.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: News Nation


Jaime Luke, Michigan State University

A Labor Lockout in Rural Colorado Has a Town Asking: How Do We Survive?

By: The Denver Post – July 19, 2026

“Things like this can cause regional issues, such as producers seeing increased costs and headaches, but for the industry as a whole, it’s not an end-of-the-world scenario,”

(Continued...)
Read more on: The Denver Post



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Monday, July 13, 2026

Members in the News: July 13, 2026

 Zachariah Rutledge, Michigan State University

Economists on the Labor Trends That Will Define the Future of U.S. Fresh Produce

By: The Packer – July 6, 2026

“Based on USDA data, the average operating cost for labor is about 38% for fruit and 29% for vegetables.”

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Read more on: The Packer


Alejandro Gutierrez-Li, North Carolina State University

TPS Decision Could Reshape Ag Labor Market

By: Politico – June 29, 2026

“The Supreme Court ruling is likely to further stress the labor supply at meatpacking plants across the country. Meatpackers can’t easily access the H-2A visa program for year-round work like meatpacking. “Research has shown that, even in periods of high unemployment, Americans prefer to pass on physically demanding jobs at meatpacking plants.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Politico


David Ortega, Michigan State University

Did Walmart Roll Back Prices Because of Trump? They Won’t Say

By: USA Today – July 8, 2026

“The Walmart price reductions looks less like a turning point on food inflation and more like an aggressive summer promotion. Big retailers spotlight 'backyard barbecue' staples like meat, corn, soda, chips because they're highly visible and shape how shoppers feel about prices in general."

(Continued...)
Read more on: USA Today


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University
Sandro Steinbach,
North Dakota State University

  • Kansas Farmers Suffer From Tariffs and Closing of Strait of Hormuz, Ag Experts Say
    By: Yahoo! Finance – July 7, 2026
  • The Meat Industry’s Tireless Effort to Keep Live Pigs in Coffins
    By: The American Prospect – July 7, 2026

Natalie Loduca, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Scott Swinton,
Michigan State University

How Farmers Respond to Climate-Related Risk

Bu: Agrinews – July 5, 2026

“Crop yields depend not only on weather conditions, but also on the producer’s management decisions. We wanted to better understand how farmers perceive uncertainty under changing climate conditions.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Agrinews


Christopher Barrett, Cornell University

Fertilizer Shortage Raises Concerns Across Global Agriculture

By: Farms.com – July 6, 2026

“Despite these challenges, experts believe consumers are unlikely to experience major increases in food prices. Consumers are going to see higher food prices come September to January, once harvests start coming in, and the few months thereafter. Very little of that is going to be directly attributable to fertilizer."

(Continued...)
Read more on: Farms.com


Bradley Rickard, Cornell University

A California Farmer Is Giving Away Tons of Nectarines That He's Not Allowed to Sell

By: Food Manufacturing – July 7, 2026

“Fruit patents are becoming increasingly common. A patent allows a breeder to collect a royalty from the fruit trees it sells, the fruit that the trees produce, or both.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Food Manufacturing


Amelia Finaret, Allegheny College

5 Grocery Items That Will Cost More This Summer

By: AARP – July 7, 2026

“Whole wheat bread prices are up 8 percent over last year. Drought conditions in wheat-growing regions of the U.S. have strained supply to the point where America’s wheat production is at its lowest since 1970.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: AARP


Jeffrey Dorfman, North Carolina State University
Ricky Volpe,
California Polytechnic State University

U.S.-Iran Conflict Puts Food Prices at Growing Risk

By: Kansas City Star – July 10, 2026

Fossil fuels used in farming and distribution account for between 15% and 30% of the cost of produce at the retail level.”

“An FMI-The Food Industry Association briefing that even an immediate resolution to the conflict would not prevent grocery inflation from climbing well above the historical average for the remainder of 2026.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Kansas City Star



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Monday, July 6, 2026

Members in the News: July 6, 2026

Zachariah Rutledge, Michigan State University
David Ortega,
Michigan State University

Dairy Farm Labor Shortages, Adaptation Strategies and Preferences for Workforce Policy Options

By: Farms.com – June 30, 2026

“Labor shortages are increasingly prevalent in the agricultural sector. Dairy farms face a unique challenge because production requires a year-round workforce, yet most current American visa programs are primarily designed for producers with seasonal employment needs.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Farms.com


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University
Ming Wang,
North Dakota State University
Joseph Glauber,
International Food Policy Research Institute

How Fertilizer Policies Could Exacerbate Hormuz Price Shocks

By: Global Agriculture – May 26, 2026

“The closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28, 2026, put roughly one-third of global seaborne fertilizer trade at risk. Suddenly, production across the broader Persian Gulf region had no clear ocean exit.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Global Agriculture


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University
Nick Paulson,
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Land Line: Riverview, Lobe Rangers, Fertilizer & War, Climate’s Double Indemnity, Colin Cureton’s Ag Legacy, Grazing & Birds, Roundup’s SCOTUS Support, Farm Bill

By: Land Stewardship Project – June 26, 2026

“A full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz will eventually cause fertilizer prices to fall, but they will remain above their prewar levels for years to come”

“Actions the Trump administration is considering, such as not renewing a trade deal with Canada, would drastically reduce the supply of some fertilizers.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Land Stewardship Project


Joana Colussi, Purdue University

‘A Real Farm Crisis’: Illinois Farm Bankruptcies Rise For 3rd Straight Year

By: WJBC – June 29, 2026

“Overhead costs represent the largest cost component on the U.S. farm, accounting for nearly one-half of total costs during the 2020-24 period. Eighty percent of the farmers in the Midwest, they rent the land.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: WJBC


Tim Delbridge, Oregon State University

OSU Ag Economist: Early Season Cherry Prices Concerning

By: Capital Press – June 29, 2026

“The pricing picture for sweet cherries is concerning at this point in the season. We may see prices come back up at the end of the season.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Capital Press


Bradley Lubben, University of Nebraska - Lincoln

USDA Forecast Shows Rising Costs For Corn, Soybeans, Sorghum and Wheat

By: Brownfield Ag News – June 29, 2026

“Inflation has been the biggest factor since the COVID-19 pandemic. We have continued to be at the higher levels along with trade and global security shocks that have amped up certain markets. Right now, we’re just dealing with higher production costs.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield Ag News


Hunter Biram, University of Arkansas

U.S. Rice Acreage Falls to Lowest Since the 1970s As Cotton Acres Increase

By: Brownfield Ag News – June 30, 2026

“I’ve had people ask me questions about the sustainability in the long term viability of the rice industry… The ripple effects of the rice production declines are being felt in Arkansas, the largest rice producing state in the country.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield Ag News


Andrew Muhammad, University of Tennessee

China Resumes US Soybean Purchases Under Trade Deal With Trump, But Future For Farmers Remains ‘Daunting’

By: Europe Says – July 3, 2026

“Exports to China from January through March were up 57% compared to last year, USDA data shows. That’s explained by an increase in sales to China during the off-season in response to the trade agreement… But if we look at the accumulated total for the actual marketing year, going back to September, exports to China are still lagging what we did in years past.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Europe Says


Christopher Barrett, Cornell University

How a Fertilizer Shortage Caused by the Iran War Could Affect U.S. Food Prices

By: NPR – July 3, 2026

"Consumers are going to see higher food prices come September to January, once harvests start coming in, and the few months thereafter. Very little of that is going to be directly attributable to fertilizer."

(Continued...)
Read more on: NPR


Jaime Luke, Michigan State University

Why Beef Prices Keep Climbing

By: Marketplace – June 22, 2026

“The USDA predicts beef prices will go up another 10% in 2026 — much faster than the rate of inflation. High demand and low supply makes for a perfect storm. Right now we have a historically low number of beef cows in the country.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Marketplace


Bingyan Dai, Cornell University

East Coast Broccoli Lowers Costs and Risks From California Drought

By: Morning Ag Clips – July 1, 2026

“We do think our model can be generalized to other crops, which face similar issues and increasing challenges from drought and water scarcity when production is concentrated in one state… Demand for fresh fruits and vegetables, and especially broccoli, most of which is grown in California, has been growing nationally while water scarcity in the West has also increased.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Morning Ag Clips



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