USDA Webinar: America's Farms and Ranches at a Glance, 2022 Edition

Webinar Details
Date: Tuesday, December 6, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Duration: 1 hour
Speaker: Noah Miller

In this webinar, ERS Agricultural Economist Noah Miller presents findings from America's Farms and Ranches at a Glance: 2022 Edition. America's Farms and Ranches at a Glance report, previously known as America's Diverse Family Farms, provides the latest statistics on U.S. farms, including production, financial performance, pandemic assistance, and farm household financial characteristics by farm size. This year's edition also explores farm household health insurance coverage, input acquisition practices, farm liquidity, and agritourism adoption.

See America's Diverse Family Farms: 2021 Edition America's Farms and Ranches at a Glance: 2022 Edition will be released on December 6, 2022, at 9:00 AM ET.

Register now: https://www.ers.usda.gov/conferences/webinar-america-s-farms-and-ranches-at-a-glance-2022-edition/

Members In the News: Ortega, Sumner, Gupta, Dall'erba, Ridley, Schnitkey, Paulson, Janzen, et al.

*Disclaimer - This email is to acknowledge citations of current AAEA members and/or their research in any public media channel. AAEA does not agree nor disagree with the views or attitudes of cited outside publications. David Ortega, Michigan State University "How to Cook and Eat Well When Food is More Expensive Than Ever" By: Vox - November 11, 2022 Expert Shares Money Saving Tips as Inflation Makes Thanksgiving Dinner More Expensive" By: WDET NPR - November 11, 2022 "Great, Inflation is Ruining Thanksgiving Dinner, Too" By: Nerd Wallet - November 11, 2022 "How Much more Will Your Thanksgiving Meal Cost This Year?" By: Milve - November 14, 2022 Daniel Sumner, University of California, Davis "Drought Dramatically Shrinking California Farmland, Costing $1.7 Billion" By: LA Times Sacramento - November 23, 2022 "Turkey Trouble Rises as Stores Limit Number of Birds you Can Bring Home for Thanksgiving" By: CBS News Sacramento - November 22, 2022 Soumya Gupta, Tata-Cornell Institute “How deepening Covid-19 distress has left Indian women malnourished" By: Scroll.in- November 10, 2022 “Depending on the stage of the life-cycle, adolescent girls, and women who are menstruating, pregnant or lactating have greater nutritional requirements. This needs to be placed in the context of the dietary gap that has already persistently marked women’s food consumption. During the pandemic, this gap has likely worsened – and is unlikely to be distributed equally/evenly amongst members of the same household – thereby affecting women’s nutritional status more adversely, as compared to men.” (Continued...) Read more on: Scroll.in Sandy Dall’erba, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Bill Ridley, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign "Which Weather Characteristics Affect Agricultural And Food Trade The Most?" By: Eurasia Review - November 17, 2022 “Our main finding is that the key driver of trade, whether at the domestic or international level, is temperature in the place of origin. An increase in temperatures negatively affects a country’s ability to export agricultural goods, because it reduces yield and decreases agricultural labor productivity,” “Trade is one of the key tools with which to mitigate and adapt to the effects of climate change, particularly in agriculture. If a country is affected by adverse growing conditions, such as drought, the ability to rely on foreign sources for food and agricultural products is a key element of the ability to buffer those sorts of shocks,” (Continued...) Read more on: Eurasia Review or phys.org, Effingham Daily News, Farm Week Now Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Nick Paulson, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign "Outlook for Nitrogen Prices in Spring 2023" By: AgriMarketing - November 11, 2022 “Current corn and natural gas price projections suggest anhydrous ammonia prices above $1,100 per ton in the spring of 2023. In addition, global economic conditions and supply issues could increase nitrogen fertilizer prices,” (Continued...) Read more on: AgriMarketing, Michigan Farm News, or Chronicle Media Joe Janzen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign  WASDE Recap for November 2022: "No News is Just No News" By: Crop Producers - November 16, 2022 On Wednesday, November 9, the USDA released its latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, or WASDE. The WASDE report provides an updated point of reference for agricultural commodity price expectations. This article discusses changes made by USDA to its 2022/23 corn and soybean balance sheets. Grain and oilseed markets certainly do not hold to the old saying that “no news is good news”.  (Continued...) Read more on: Crop Producers, or Farms.com Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign "Farmland experts provide tips for first-time owners, lease arrangements" By: Farm Week Now - November 18, 2022 “Some individuals may be concerned they need to sell the asset and move the money elsewhere. I’d caution against that,” he noted. “Farmland is a growth asset. Historically, farmland returns are near stock market returns and a little less variable.” (Continued...) Read more on: Farm Week Now, or Illinois Farmer Today Jayson Lusk, Purdue University “Thanksgiving Feast Costs $10 More” By: Farm Progress- November 16, 2022 “Consumer Awareness Encouraged as Turkey Prices Spike” By: FeedStuffs - November 17, 2022 “Talking Turkey and All the Fixings” By: Daily Journal- November 19, 2022 "Chicken Prices are Finally Starting to Fall. Here's Why" By: KMBC ABC - November 23, 2022 David Anderson, Texas A&M University "Little Escape From Higher Prices for Holiday Meats" By: Farm Progress - November 15, 2022 "Nutrition and poultry Experts Discuss all things turkey, from selection to thawing to cooking" By: Infotatiles, Prat Tribune - November 23, 2022 Wendiam Sawadgo, Auburn University "Gobble, gobble, gulp! Food prices put the bite on Thanksgiving feast" By: St. Louis Today - November 17, 2022 "For food items generally, key inputs like fuel and fertilizer prices have skyrocketed. A big chunk was Ukraine and Europe not having fertilizer production for a good while. That was a big problem,” (Continued...) Read more on: St. Louis Today Rodger Cryan, Farm Bureau "Turkey Prices Take a Bite Out of Thanksgiving Dinner" By: The Dairy Site - November 20, 2022 "Food Prices Put Bite on US Thanksgiving Feast" By: VOA News - November 20, 2022 M. Asaduzzaman, McGill University "Rice Mill Owners Profit Tk 8-14 per kg" By: Prothomalo - November 20, 2022 "the government should clarify its steps for establishing control over the rice mill owners. The food ministry also has the responsibility to find out the reason behind the price hike. People are consuming rice more as the cost of flour, edible oil, daal (lentil) and other products has increased. It could be a reason for the price hike." (Continued...) Read more on: Prothomalo.com George Frisvold, University of Arizona "Turkeys Gobble, but They Don’t Come Cheap: Thanksgiving Meal Costs Skyrocket" By: Tucson Sentinel - November 23, 2022 “If you do it by dollar cost per meal, Thanksgiving is actually not all that expensive compared to other stuff you buy,” (Continued...) Read more on: Tucson Sentinel Dawn Thilmany, Colorado State University "Bird Flu, Inflation: Unwanted Guests at the 2022 Thanksgiving Dinner Table" By: Denver Post - November 22, 2022 “One thing the industry can do to respond to the fact that they lost those birds is they can bring a few more birds to slaughter at a younger age than they would have normally done,” Thilmany said. “That gets us closer to the number of birds, but maybe not at the size they would optimally sell them.” (Continued...) Read more on: Denver Post Anne Byrne, USDA - Economic Research Service "Food Banks Save Needy Families Up to $1,000 Per Year" By: Fox 28 Spokane - November 23, 2022 “The most recent Household Food Security in the United States report … estimates that 5.6% of U.S. households use food pantries, which are the main distribution vehicle for food banks,” (Continued...) Read more on: Fox 28 Spokane.com David Widmar, Purdue University "Economist: Farm Economy Strong Heading into ’23 By: SFN Today - November 25, 2022 “In general, yes, it’s still a positive story, is still a very favorable story in the farm economy, and we expect that to continue in 2023. And the reason why is one of the main fundamentals is tight inventories in the U.S. across all commodities, but then also globally (Continued...) Read more on: SFN Today Chad Hart, Iowa State University "ISU economist says key factors contribute to escalating agland prices" By: Radio Iowa - November 24, 2022 “The reason we see sort of northwest Iowa really, if you will, light up when it comes to land values is that you’ve got not only crop producers who are competing for that land, but also the livestock industry,” (Continued...) Read more on: Radio Iowa Andrew Stevens, University of Wisconsin-Madison "Everyone Will Feel the Impact of Inflation at Thanksgiving. Some Will Face Food Insecurity Long Past the Holiday" By: Portside - November 24, 2022 "Americans can expect to pay more for their Thanksgiving turkey this year" By: 5BestThings - November 24, 2022 Joseph Balagtas, Purdue University "Meet the man on a mission to expose sneaky price increases" By: Boston Globe - November 26, 2022 “a professor of agricultural economics at Purdue University who has studied shrinkflation, said Dworsky was the only person he was aware of who is documenting the phenomenon.” (Continued...) Read more on: Boston Globe Derrell Peel, Oklahoma State University Rodney Holcomb, Oklahoma State University "Chicken is up, beef is down: What’s going on with meat prices right now?" By: The Hill - November 27, 2022 “The increase in chicken prices is mostly due to very strong consumer demand this year along with increased production (mostly feed) costs,” "consumers are already paying more to fill up their own cars, but they’re also paying for that added cost all the way down the supply chain. That’s part of increased costs for everything,” (Continued...) Read more on: The Hill

Know another AAEA Member who has made statewide, national, or international news? Send a link of the article to Austin Sparbel at asparbel@aaea.org. What research and topics are you working on? Want to be an expert source for journalists working on a story? Contact Allison Ware at aware@aaea.org.

 

Members in the News: Ifft, Schnitkey, Colussi, Janzen, Glauber, Laborde, Masters, Just, Byrne, Lusk, et al.

*Disclaimer - This email is to acknowledge citations of current AAEA members and/or their research in any public media channel. AAEA does not agree nor disagree with the views or attitudes of cited outside publications. Jennifer Ifft, Kansas State University Farmland Values Hit Record Highs, Pricing Out Farmers By: New York Times, Newsbreak, Finance Commerce - November 13, 2022 “There’s an expectation in the market that the government’s going to play a role when farm incomes drop, so that definitely affects investment behavior,” (Continued...) Read more on: New York Times, Newsbreak, Finance Commerce Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Joana Colussi, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign “Everything’s Bigger in Brazil: The Country Is Poised To Set A Grain Production Record” By: Agweb - November 8, 2022 “There’s no reason not to expect the same trend of higher production in the future,” “High prices and profits last season, coupled with the depreciation of the Brazilian currency relative to the U.S. dollar, have motivated farmers to increase acres,” (Continued...) Read more on: Agweb.com Joe Janzen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign WASDE Recap for November 2022: No News is Just No News By: Agfax.com - November 9, 2022 Grain and oilseed markets certainly do not hold to the old saying that “no news is good news”. Rather, limited changes in the balance sheet mean small changes in price expectations as was the case last week. This article also discusses one thing to watch going forward: global macroeconomic uncertainty and signs of weakening corn and soybean demand in international data. (Continued...) Read more on: Agfax.com Joseph Glauber, International Food Policy Research Institute David Laborde, International Food Policy Research Institute Black Sea Shutdown Imperils Global Food Security into 2023 By Successful Farming - November 1, 2022 “Higher global market prices mean consumers around the world will pay more for imports” (Continued...) Read more on: Successful farming.com Joseph Glauber, International Food Policy Research     "The good luck that’s still needed to avoid a world food crisis" By: Financial Times - November 5, 2022 “Food Security At Risk as Prices Soar” By: Bloomburg Daybreak Asia - November 7, 2022 "Ukraine's Grain Exports" By: The World - November 1, 2022 "The UN is Trying to Promote the Export of Russian Fertilizers" By: Industry Update - November 8, 2022 William A. Masters, Tuffs University New report on ‘Agricultural Sustainability and Food Production’ released By: Potato News  Today - November 11, 2022 In collaboration with William Masters at Tufts University, Chris Said from Apollo Academic Surveys asked leaders, fellows, and awardees of the American Society of Agronomy, the American Society of Animal Science, and the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association about their views on agriculture and food production. (Continued...) Read more on: Potato News Today David R. Just, Cornell University Anne Byrne, USDA- Economic Research Service Food Pantry Access Worth Billions Nationally, Study Finds By: Science Blog - November 11, 2022 “Food pantries make a huge difference to the households they serve, for many representing a substantial portion of their income,” Just said. “This is important information for policymakers considering support for the national or local food banking system, like tax breaks for food donation, direct program support from USDA or other efforts.”                                                                                                                                                                                                                         “Private food assistance, especially food banking, has grown in recent decades,” Byrne said. “These organizations have a unique position within the food system and a specific role in food access because they offer quick relief in the form of free groceries to a wide variety of people, typically with minimal administrative hurdles.” (Continued...) Read more on: Science Blog Jayson Lusk, Purdue University “Cheaper cuts of beef: It’s what’s for dinner, Tyson Foods reports” By: Marketplace - November 14, 2022 “Hard truths about inflation in Black America and how to face them” By: Pittsburg Courier - November 12, 2022 “20 Items That Are Impossible to Find at Grocery Stores Right Now!” By: Before It's News - November 13, 2022 Michael Boland, University of Minnesota Smaller turkeys, increased prices expected for Thanksgiving By: Twin Cities Pioneer Press - November 13, 2022 “When we think about the inputs used to produce our food, we think about labor, we think about energy, we think about logistics and transportation,” he said. “All these things have seen increased inflation caused by geopolitical events and policy implications from our government.” (Continued...) View more on: Twin Cities Press   David Anderson, Texas A&M University All Drought, No Cattle: Low herd supply may drive record-high prices next year By: Lubbock-Avalanche Journal - November 12, 2022 "The reason we have culled so many cows this year is because of drought and the cost of corn. High corn prices will lead to a high feed cost environment into next year. Production costs have also increased faster than calf prices.” (Continued...) Read more on: Lubbock-Avalanche Journal Zach Rutledge, Michigan State University "AmericanHort Survey Confirms Critical State of Labor for Horticulture" By: Greenhouse Growers - November 11, 2022 "Growers are facing significant labor constraints and current policies need reform" By: Fresh Plaza - November 14, 2022   Hope Michelson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Should Maize Farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa Store or Sell Their Grain? By: Springfield Herald News - November 4, 2022 "Analyzing maize prices across more than a thousand Sub-Saharan African markets over a 20-year period, the researchers found not only that maize prices do not always rise after the harvest season, but also that farmers cannot fully predict whether prices are likely to rise or fall. As a result, there is significant risk associated with storing grain for later sale, and farmer risk tolerance can impact the decision." (Continued...) Read more on: Springfield Herald News Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign “Farmland Values Set Records” By: Progressive Farmer - November 7, 2022 “Profit Watch: Effects of high inputs” By: FarmWeekNow - November 9, 2022 “Outlook for Nitrogen Prices in Spring 2023” By: Farms.com - November 10, 2022 Carl Zulauf, The Ohio State University Gary Schnitkey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Joe Janzen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign   South American Corn and Soybeans in US Perspective By: Farms.com - November 10, 2022 "Most farmdoc readers know that South America produces more soybeans than the US and is an increasingly important producer of corn.  But, “facts” can often be appreciated (i.e. understood) only when put in a familiar context.  This article therefore discusses South American corn and soybean production in the context of US states.  Almost every US farmer and agribusiness person understands that what happens in Illinois and Iowa directly impacts them." (Continued...) Read more on: Farms.com   Scott Irwin, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign “GrowPods from ACTX Allow Farmers to Rapidly Pivot into Crops in Short Supply" By: Guru Focus - November 2, 2022 "We may see some shelves that are empty," (Continued...) Read more on: Guru Focus

Know another AAEA Member who has made statewide, national, or international news? Send a link of the article to Austin Sparbel at asparbel@aaea.org. What research and topics are you working on? Want to be an expert source for journalists working on a story? Contact Allison Ware at aware@aaea.org.

USDA Webinar: Farm Income and Financial Forecasts, December 2022 Update

Date: Thursday, December 1, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Duration: 1 hour
Presenter: Carrie Litkowski

Description:

USDA's Economic Research Service (ERS) releases farm income statement and balance sheet estimates and forecasts three times a year. These core statistical indicators provide guidance to policymakers, lenders, commodity organizations, farmers, and others interested in the financial status of the farm economy. ERS' farm income statistics also inform the computation of agriculture's contribution to the U.S. economy's gross domestic product.

During this webinar, ERS Economist Carrie Litkowski presents the December 2022 update to the farm sector income and wealth forecasts for calendar year 2022.


Register / Join the webinar

Listening to the Diverse Voices of AAEA

As our current AAEA President Norbert Wilson put it so aptly this summer in his Presidential Address—what’s your story? In this webinar, we’ll hear from our panelists about their stories—where they are in their career now, how they get there professionally, and what experiences or forces shaped them and their career that might not be evident from their CVs or résumés.

When: Monday, December 5, 11:00 am – 12:00 pm (Central Time)
Format: Zoom
Agenda: Each panelist will be given approximately 10 minutes to share their story. Additional time is reserved for audience Q&A and moderator questions.
Panelists:

• Grace Melo, Texas A&M University
• Sarah Low, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
• Nathan Kauffman, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Moderator: Titus Awokuse, Michigan State University

Note that space is limited. If at anytime you find out that you can longer attend the webinar, please email us at info@aaea.org to cancel so we may better accommodate pending registrations. Any pending registrants will be reviewed during the time of the webinar in the event there is room.

This webinar series was started in 2020 by the AAEA Mentorship Committee to provide an opportunity for AAEA members to share their diverse experiences, career paths, and backgrounds and for others to learn from their experience. Recordings of previous webinars in this series are available on AAEA’s YouTube channel (search within the channel for “diverse voices”).

Members in the News: Lusk, Hagerman, Michelson, Cardell, Batabyal, Rutledge, Just, Byrne, Somogyi, Anderson, Whitacre, Fannin, & AEPP

*Disclaimer - This email is to acknowledge citations of current AAEA members and/or their research in any public media channel. AAEA does not agree nor disagree with the views or attitudes of cited outside publications.

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Jayson Lusk, Purdue University

Do Consumers and Nutrition Experts Think Alike When it Comes to Healthy Foods?

By: Pork & Morning Ag Clips - November 9, 2022

“Given that people are often exposed to conflicting messages about nutrition, these results seem encouraging,” said Jayson Lusk, head and Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics at Purdue, who leads the center. “For example, one week, news might break that a certain food will extend your life, then the next week, you’ll hear that it will shorten your life.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Pork & Morning Ag Clips

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Amy Hagerman, Oklahoma State University

Stark differences noted in HPAI outbreaks of 2022, 2015

By: Baking Business - November 4, 2022

“We see this virus continuing to circulate in interactions between domesticated poultry and wild species because many backyard flocks have more exposure points than commercial flocks,” said Amy Hagerman, assistant professor of agricultural economics and food policy extension specialist at Oklahoma State University. 

(Continued...)
Read more on: Baking Business

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Hope Michelson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Lila Cardell, USDA-Economics Research Service

Should Maize Farmers In Sub-Saharan Africa Store or Sell Their Grain?

By: Feedstuffs, Phys.org, & Bioengineer - November 9, 2022

Analyzing maize prices across more than a thousand Sub-Saharan African markets over a 20-year period, the researchers found not only that maize prices do not always rise after the harvest season, but also that farmers cannot fully predict whether prices are likely to rise or fall. As a result, there is significant risk associated with storing grain for later sale, and farmer risk tolerance can impact the decision, says Hope Michelson, associate professor in the Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics (ACE) at Illinois and co-author on the study.

From her field work in Malawi, Michelson observed the unpredictability of market prices after the high season of harvest and crop-sale. She teamed up with then-doctoral student Lila Cardell, who is now a research economist with the USDA Economic Research Service, to gather data from markets across the region to track post-harvest maize price trends over a range of nations and years.

(Continued...)
Read more on: Feedstuffs, Phys.org, & Bioengineer

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Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

Cities Where Inflation is Rising the Most

By: Wallet Hub - November 10, 2022

The main factor is demand exceeding supply for a whole host of goods in the US economy. This rising demand was caused, in part, by Uncle Sam providing massive stimulus funds to aid Americans who would otherwise be in considerable financial distress.

(Continued...)
Read more on: Wallet Hub

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Zachariah Rutledge, Michigan State University

• Results from Greenhouse & Nursery Labor and Employment Survey Available
  By: American Hort - November 2022
• Labor Specialist Expects Technology to Complement Shortages
  By: Brownfield Ag News - October 31, 2022

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David Just, Cornell University
Anne Byrne, USDA-ERS
American Journal of Agricultural Economics

• Food pantry access worth billions nationally, study finds
  By: News Wise & Science News Net - November 10, 2022
• What is free food worth? Study estimates the value of food pantry services
  By: Science Magazine, et al. - November 9, 2022

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Simon Somogyi, University of Guelph

Interview with Simon Somogyi on CTV News Toronto

By: CTV News Toronto - November 2022

Simon Somogyi from University of Guelph discusses that a new poll suggests ¼ of Canadians are stockpiling food and 1/5 are eating less food due to inflation.

(Continued...)
View more on: CTV News Toronto

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David Anderson, Texas A&M University

Higher Calf Prices Projected for 2023 in Texas

By: Austin County News Online - November 8, 2022

“Most of the country is in some form of drought,” David Anderson, AgriLife Extension economist in the Texas A&M Department of Agricultural Economics, Bryan-College Station, told attendees at the recent South Central Texas Cow-Calf Clinic in Brenham.

(Continued...)
Read more on: Austin County News Online

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Brian Whitacre, Oklahoma State University
Matt Fannin, Louisiana State University

Keys to Improving the Rural Economy Are Many

By: The Daily Yonder - October 31, 2022

“A big advantage urban areas have is agglomeration,” Whitacre said in an interview for this article. “The fact that many industries (and occupations) are nearby leads to competition, which results in higher wages. However, I don’t disagree with the main point (of the Ball State study) that education is an important driver (and that rural areas generally continue to fall behind in the education category.)”

“There are states with rural places with a higher number of jobs dependent on the energy economy that can see periods of time when there may grow faster during the ‘boom’ parts of the energy cycle and slower during the ‘bust,’” Matt Fannin of the Louisiana State University Department of Agriculture said in an interview.

(Continued...)
Read more on: The Daily Yonder

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 Know another AAEA Member who has made statewide, national, or international news? Send a link of the article to Jessica Weister at jweister@aaea.org.

What research and topics are you working on? Want to be an expert source for journalists working on a story? Contact Allison Ware at aware@aaea.org.

USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA) National Program Leader

 The USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA) has one job opening for a National Program Leader, Agricultural Economics (Social Science Specialist; GS 13/14 with full promotion potential to GS15). This position is in the Institute of Food Production and Sustainability, Division of Agricultural Systems. This is a remote job/position, and the selectee is not required to report to a government office; however, the option to work in one of the NIFA offices may be available.

National Program Leaders provide scientific and technical leadership for competitive and capacity grant
programs. Examples of some duties performed by National Program Leaders include (but are not limited
to):

• Administers research, education, and extension programs in food and agricultural sciences related to applied and agricultural economics with a focus on natural resources and the environment, including economics of climate change and/or economics of natural resources conservation.
• Initiate, network, and collaborate with partners and stakeholders to identify mission-relevant problems, opportunities and issues requiring Federal attention.
• Conceive, formulate, and execute competitive grant programs and activities to respond to existing or emerging problems, opportunities, priorities, and issues for development.
• Apply science-based knowledge to evaluate policy and develop and implement programs in collaboration with universities and other partners.
• Evaluate and assess the quality, outcomes, and impacts of competitive and capacity grant programs.
• Promotes the research, education, and extension portfolio to advance the strategic goals and management objectives of NIFA and the administration.

Applications will be accepted until November 23, 2022, or until 150 applications are received. More
information and a link to apply for this National Program Leader position is available at:
https://www.usajobs.gov/job/688138100.