Monday, April 13, 2026

Members in the News: April 13, 2026

 Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

India’s Farm Productivity Puzzle Lies in Distorted Land Markets

By: Basis Point Insight – April 8, 2026

“It is now well known that agricultural productivity in India is very low. Despite overall economic progress, agricultural productivity in India remains extremely low compared to developed countries, with output per worker only a small fraction of that in the United States.”

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Read more on: Basis Point Insight


William Burke, Michigan State University

Rising Oil Prices Threaten Global Food Security

By: KTVU – April 6, 2026

“Global food costs keep climbing, and farmers are feeling the squeeze. The U.N.’s FAO reports another jump in prices, while the U.S. exports phosphate fertilizers even as domestic shortages hit spring planting. William Burke, an agricultural economist, at The University of Maryland Eastern Shore, gives insight.”

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Read more on: KTVU


Andrew Muhammad, University of Tennessee

  • Why Is 95 Percent of the World’s Bourbon Made in Kentucky?
    By: Freakonomics – April 3, 2026
  • U.S. Farmers Face ‘New Era of Trade Deficits’ as Global Markets Shift
    By: Farm Progress – April 2, 2026

Seungki Lee, The Ohio State University

The Iran War is Changing How Millions of People Cook — And What They Eat

By: Grist – April 6, 2026

“Because of the economic strain created by the conflict, nation-level progress toward the U.N.’s sustainable development targets, for example, are more likely to see at least a short-term regression on the aim to transition billions of households away from using coal, kerosene, or solid biomass as primary cooking fuels.”

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Read more on:Grist


Charles Martinez, University of Tennessee

Should Market Data Add a Beef x Dairy Category?

By: Feedstuffs – February 24, 2026

“Beef on dairy has always been available as a backup strategy for dairy producers to maintain operations during slumps of dairy prices. But the current landscape has producers using artificial insemination to make genetic-based decisions for dairy production while also intentionally using semen from beef bulls to produce calves to market as beef.”

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Read more on: Feedstuffs


Cesar Escalante, University of Georgia

Expanding H-2A Farmworker Program Could Increase Health, Safety Risks

By: PNS – April 8, 2026

“Native-born workers will only work for one day or half a day, and then they quit… They cannot tolerate the working conditions.”

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Read more on: PNS


David Ortega, Michigan State University

Grocery Prices Rise, But These Staples Are Getting Cheaper

By: USA Today - April 8, 2026

“There have been several "shocks" that have affected the agricultural and food industry, such as bird flu devastating the egg markets, climate-driven droughts hammering coffee and fresh produce production and tariffs layering additional costs onto import-heavy categories. These shocks hit products in different ways, which is why you get such a mixed picture when you look item by item. But the net result is that families are still paying more at the register."

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Read more on: USA Today


Christopher Wolf, Cornell University

“‘The Good Old Days Are Gone’: How Will US Prices Stand As War in Iran Surges On?

By: The Guardian – April 4, 2026

“Along with oil prices, diesel and fertilizer prices are also rising, which are critical to farming. That makes both the cost of growing crops and raising livestock more expensive.”

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Read more on:The Guardian


Jeffrey Dorfman, North Carolina State University

Diesel and Fertilizer Cost Spikes Put Squeeze on NC Corn Farmers

By: Carolina Public Press – April 6, 2026

“Higher oil and fertilizer prices may encourage farmers to shift some acres away from corn. Soybeans, which require less fertilizer and are more forgiving when it comes to drought, are a logical replacement. In general, these higher prices mean a 3-5 percent increase in production costs for most crops, which is very unwelcome after production costs have already risen about 65 percent in the last five years.”

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Read more on: Carolina Public Press


Joshua Maples, Mississippi State University

Rising Fuel And Fertilizer Costs Are Hitting U.S. Producers Differently, With Smaller Operations Feeling the Squeeze

By: Brownfield – April 9, 2026

“Larger producers likely purchased fuel and fertilizer at the end of 2025. However, I would say a lot of smaller producers don’t do that. And so this is a spot here where we may see a bit of differences between size of operation and the relative impact it has on their operation.”

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Read more on: Brownfield


Richard VolpeCalifornia Polytechnical State University

"Why Tomato Prices Are Rising and Driving Grocery Inflation"

By: Axios - April 10, 2026 

"The U.S. imports a large share of its tomatoes, and tariffs are being passed through fairly cleanly. There are few players in the supply chain with the capacity to absorb losses. While prices typically rise this time of year, the current spike is larger than usual." 

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Read more on: Axios



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Monday, April 6, 2026

Members in the News: April 6, 2026

 Ricky Volpe, California Polytechnical State University

Unilever's Sale to McCormick is About More Than Just Mayo

By: Marketplace – March 31, 2026

“Folks have been increasingly moving towards more prepared and ready-to-eat foods, the perimeter of the supermarket… With especially younger Americans, we've seen brand loyalty eroded in a big way.”

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Read more on: Marketplace


Rabail Chandio, Iowa State University

  • Annual ISU Farmland Survey Predicts Short-Term Stability, Long-Term Growth
    By: Decorah Leader – January 7, 2026
  • Northwest Iowa Continues to Lead State in Farmland Values
    By: KTIV News 4 – January 21, 2026

Miguel Gomez, Cornell University

The Hidden Cost of Viral Food Trends

By: Bloomberg – March 29, 2026

“Social media has turned niche foods into global sensations at unprecedented speed, sending demand for products like matcha, ube, acai and Dubai chocolate far beyond their traditional markets… Influencers can create demand spikes that supply chains struggle to meet, exposing farmers and producers to volatility and quality risks. In matcha, the surge has been especially intense.”

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Read more on: Bloomberg


Kenneth Burdine, University of Kentucky

Declines in U.S. Corn Acres Could Pressure Feed Prices and Create Headwinds for the Livestock Sector

By: Brownfield – March 30, 2026

“Tighter margins were already pointing to increased soybean acres.  The recent run up in fertilizer prices have changed this even more. The story to me is that we’re going to see a decrease in corn acres. We’re going to see it shift other crops. It’s a question of how significant that decrease is, and I think it’ll be relatively significant.”

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Read more on: Brownfield


Scott Irwin, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

As Prices Soar, EPA Greenlights Higher Ethanol Blends in Gasoline

By: Inside Climate News – March 25, 2026

“I expect relatively slow growth in the U.S. ethanol blend rate from where it is now, about 10.5 percent. But regardless of what the path is, I do think it will be upward, and it’s important to remember that each 10th that the ethanol blend rate increases, that raises domestic U.S. ethanol demand by about 130 million gallons. So even small improvements in the blend rate do matter.”

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Read more on: Inside Climate News

 


David Ortega, Michigan State University

Fresh Food Distributors Add Surcharges as Fuel Costs Rise

By: New York Times – March 31, 2026

“We’ve been talking about the price of food for the past five years. Grocery store prices are nearly 30 percent more than they were before the Covid-19 pandemic. Particularly for lower-income households, food is a necessity, and they will protect their food budgets, which means they will cut down on other things like eating out.”

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Read more on: New York Times


Sandro Steinbach, North Dakota State University
Yasin Yildirim,
North Dakota State University

U.S.-China Trade Conflict Harming California Ag

By: Farm Progress – April 2, 2026

“In aggregate the top 13 California agricultural commodities exported to China fell from an average total annual value of around $1.55 billion in 2024 to $554 million in 2025 – a 64% decline in a single year.”

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Read more on: Farm Progress or Imperial Valley Press, ivpressonline.com, News Break, FreshPlaza


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University

‘Could Not Come At a Worse Time’: U.S. Farmers Hit Hard By Economic Fallout of Iran War

By: MS Now – March 27, 2026

“Before the Strait of Hormuz crisis, the global situation of fertilizer was already extremely tight. So this happened in a very, very bad time. Even if the strait were to open tomorrow, Arita said, fertilizer prices won’t soon recover from the lasting impacts of Gulf suppliers halting production amid the war.”

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Read more on: MS Now or Farms.com


Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

How Marriage Markets Drive India's Vanishing Girls Problem

By: Basis Point Insight – April 3, 2026

“India’s gender imbalance is neither new nor subtle. Skewed sex ratios continue to favour boys, bringing with them consequences that extend beyond demography: a marriage market squeeze, rising trafficking risks, and deeper social strain.”

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Read more on: Basis Point Insight


Laura Kalambokidis, University of Minnesota

Minnesota’s Job Engine Stalled in January

By: MPR News – April 2, 2026

“We've taken for granted for a while that Minnesota's unemployment rate tends to be below the U.S. unemployment rate. Seeing that change for this one data point, which is January of this year, is an unwelcome development but something that could change. It could reverse.”

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Read more on: MPR News



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Monday, March 30, 2026

Members in the News: March 30, 2026

 Ricky Volpe, California Polytechnical State University

Iran Roils Loyal GOP Voters

By: Politico – March 23, 2026

“The waiver could have an effect on the margins but isn’t “a solution to the structural problems caused by the war. The U.S. already makes most of the fertilizer it uses, so the pain points for this year’s season are mostly affecting specific fertilizers we import. The Jones Act might provide a little relief there, but it wouldn’t really address any of the major inflationary concerns I have about the war.”

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Read more on: Politico


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University

'It is not too late to turn this around': Minnesota farmers demand trade fix as $50 billion in losses push US agriculture toward 'widespread collapse

By: MSN Money – March 16, 2026

“Those include the costs for fertilizers, costs for chemicals, for machinery products, for machinery inputs that have run up in inflation over the past few years.”

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Read more on: MSN Money


Sandro Steinbach, North Dakota State University

UC ANR: U.S.-China Trade Conflict Harms California Farming Communities as New Study Finds a 64% Drop in Value of California Agricultural Exports in 2025

By: News Break – March 19, 2026

"the top 13 California agricultural commodities exported to China fell from an average total annual value of around $1.55 billion in 2024 to $554 million in 2025 – a 64% decline in a single year."

(Continued...)
Read more on: Sierra Sun Times or Europe Says


Alexis Villacis, The Ohio State University

Chocolate Candy Becoming A Bitter Pill To Swallow Due To Worldwide Cocoa Shortage

By: The Main Wire – March 12, 2026

“Chocolate companies are replacing cocoa with other types of things, like more milk or more almonds or other types of coatings. The cocoa shortage is due to environmental challenges across the globe.”

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Read more on: The Main Wire


Rabail Chandio, Iowa State University

  • Ag Land Record Set In Sioux County; NW Iowa Values Highest In State
    By: KWIA Radio – January 2, 2026
  • Farmers Still the Ones Buying Farmland
    By: KWIA Radio – December 30, 2025

David Ortega, Michigan State University

  • The Economics Cost of Trump’s Migrant Crackdown
    By: Financial Times - March 24, 2026
  • Rising Oil Prices Could Increase Food Costs—But Hoarding Groceries ‘Makes a Bad Situation Worse,’ Economist Says
    By: CNBC – March 27, 2206

Jeffrey Dorfman, North Carolina State University

NC Scholars Among Those Supporting States’ Suit Against Trump Tariffs

By: Carolina Journal – March 23, 2026

“Contrary to the purpose and limited delegation of Section 122, President Trump has invoked this statute to impose immense and ever-changing tariffs on whatever goods entering the United States he chooses and for whatever reasons he finds convenient.”

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Read more on: Carolina Journal


Chad Hart, Iowa State University

Fertilizer Prices Bring More Pain For American Farmers Amid War in Iran

By: Channel 3000 – March 23, 2026

“While the broader American economy is on solid footing, the agricultural economy’s been in a recession… Low crop prices over the past three years and rising farm bankruptcies following the pandemic. The crisis in crops is so severe that farmers actually lose money growing corn, oats, rice and other staples.”

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Read more on: Channel 3000


Daniel Sumner, University of California, Davis

How the War in Iran Is Impacting Fertilizer Supplies, Food Prices

By: KQQED – March 27, 2026

“Farmers don’t get up in the morning and say, holy smoke, I better buy some fertilizer. They will have contracted and actually purchased and taken delivery of fertilizer in the middle of the winter. Much of what we’re talking about with fertilizer will be decisions that people are making months, maybe six months from now, many of them for the 2027 planting decision.”

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Read more on: KQQED


Christopher Barrett, Cornell University

Raspberry Prices Double, Largely Due to Iran War

 By: Newser – March 27, 2026

"Raspberries are a really nice microcosm of several different economic layers threaded together that were in place before the conflict in Iran. The result: skimpy selection, erratic quality, and sticker shock. One shopper's current strategy: wait for sales—and skip raspberries when "the price is crazy."

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Read more on: Newser



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