Monday, May 18, 2026

Members in the News: May 18, 2026

 Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

  • Bribes, Bureaucracy and the Case for a Universal Basic Income
    By: Basis Point Insight – May 12, 2026
  • Political Pulse: What Suspending the Federal Gas Tax Means
    By: ABC 13May 13, 2026
  • What is the Status of the American Dream Today?
    By: Rochester Business Journal – May 8, 2026

Benjamin Brown, University of Missouri

Wet weather creates uneven planting progress across Missouri

By: Brownfield – May 4, 2026

“We’ve seen quite a bit of field activity in the southern half of the state. My family farms in west central Missouri. I was home the weekend before last and most of the corn is planted. Not only is it planted, but it’s also six to eight inches up out of the ground at this point. Conversely, right, like you look at the northern part of the state, and it’s been much slower going.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield


Rabail Chandio, Iowa State University

Farmland Values Relatively Stable Amid Volatile World Markets

By: Illinois Farmer Today – April 18, 2026

“While the actual dollar figure increased, if adjusted for inflation, farmland values decline 1.8% in 2025. There were also regional variations. This growth was reported by six of the nine crop reporting districts in Iowa, concentrated at the eastern and western parts of the state.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Illinois Farmer Today


Alexis Villacis, The Ohio State University

The Real Reason Gummy Candy Is Everywhere (It Has Nothing to Do with Taste)

By: All Recipes – May 10, 2026

“As long as the government intervenes in this type of price setting, there's always a problem because you don't let the free markets work."

(Continued...)
Read more on: All Recipes


David Ortega, Michigan State University
William Masters, 
Tufts University

Prices For These Grocery Items Have Spiked Highest Since the War Began

By: The Washington Post – May 12, 2026

“Still, the food price shocks shouldn’t be as dramatic and widespread as those felt in 2022 after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. That region is a significant producer of grain.”

“But the inflation this time differs from rising prices after the pandemic. In 2022, people had saved money after saving while in the pandemic lockdown and could more easily absorb some of the demand-fueled inflation. Now, supply costs are driving the increases. Here, there’s not even the higher paychecks to cushion the blow.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: The Washington Post


David Ortega, Michigan State University
Kenneth Foster,
Purdue University
Bernhard Dalheimer,
Purdue University

Higher Gas Prices Are Seeping Into the Produce Aisle

By: The Wall Street Journal – May 10, 2026

“Fruits and vegetables tend to feel some of the earliest effects of surges in fuel prices since they often have to travel long distances in a hurry, in temperature-controlled environments. Energy, storage and transportation costs make up roughly 12% of the price of a vegetable, for example, compared with less than 8% for snacks and bakery products.”

“The pressure on the industry could increase soon. Distributors absorbed early cost rises on the assumption that the war would end quickly. Uncertainty about the length of the conflict has altered that calculus. If I’m managing a distribution supply chain, I’m looking at this conflict and thinking…this is a long-term shift in my costs.”

“Often distributors try to absorb unexpected costs, sensitive that customers react poorly to expensive food. But over the past year, companies already have absorbed the costs of various other price shocks, leaving them with less wiggle room to avoid passing costs on to retailers and consumers.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: The Wall Street Journal


David Ortega, Michigan State University

  • Fuel, munitions and food: Trump’s Iran war rips across US Economy
    By: Financial Times – May 11,2026
  • Why Have Grocery Prices Shot Up the Most in 4 years? We Explain
    By: USA Today – May 14, 2026

David Ortega, Michigan State University
Parke Wilde,
Tufts University

Tomatoes, Seafood and More: Why Are These Grocery Prices Soaring?

By: ABC News – May 13, 2026

“Perishable foods are the canary in the coal mine when we look at the impact of high diesel costs on groceries. Grocers in the U.S. import a large share of their tomatoes from Mexico, but weather-related damage in that country has slashed tomato output… The impact we’re seeing is not just driven by one factor. It’s really a combination.”

“Whenever there is disruption in energy markets, it works its way into food prices eventually. I think that’s what we’re seeing.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: ABC News


Ricky Volpe, California Polytechnic State University

  • More Beef Price Pressures Incoming, Analyst Warns
    By: Agri Pulse – May 15, 2026
  • A New Wave of Food Inflation is Building Across the Supply Chain
    By: Food Navigator - May 15, 2026

Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University

  • "In America’s Farming Heartland, Spiralling Costs Test Loyalty to Trump"
    By: Yahoo! News - May 15, 2026 
  • "Strait of Hormuz Blockade: Why the Risk of a Global Food Crisis Is Now Worrying the United Nations"
    By: Midi Libre - May 12, 2026 


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Monday, May 11, 2026

Members in the News: May 11, 2026

Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

Workers in Rochester, NY, and Elsewhere Would Benefit from a Federal Paid Sick Leave Law

By: Medium – May 2, 2026

“Workers in Rochester, New York would benefit substantially from universal paid sick leave. Rochester’s economy relies heavily on healthcare, education, manufacturing, and service industries — sectors where employees frequently work in close contact with colleagues and the public.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Medium


Benjamin Brown, University of Missouri

Wet weather creates uneven planting progress across Missouri

By: Brownfield – May 4, 2026

“We’ve seen quite a bit of field activity in the southern half of the state. My family farms in west central Missouri. I was home the weekend before last and most of the corn is planted. Not only is it planted, but it’s also six to eight inches up out of the ground at this point. Conversely, right, like you look at the northern part of the state, and it’s been much slower going.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield


Steven Deller, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Wisconsin Lost Thousands of Manufacturing Jobs in 2025

By: Urban Milwaukee – May 4, 2026

 “The state is still heavily dependent on manufacturing, an industry that “tends to be more sensitive to downward trends in the economy. Some of the leading economic indicators out there that do a really good job of forecasting what’s going to happen to the economy, zero-in on what’s happening to manufacturing. And for the Upper Midwest, some of those indicators are kind of looking down, so these employment numbers are not completely surprising.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Urban Milwaukee


Kenneth Foster, Purdue University

Global Energy Costs Rise As Iran War Affects Brent Crude Oil Price

By: Europe Says – May 5, 2026

“There is typically a 3- to 6-month lag between an energy price shock and an increase in retail food prices. The lag can be up to a year for packaged foods with a longer shelf life.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Europe Says


David Ortega, Michigan State University

When Will The Iran War Hit Food Prices

By: NPR – May 6, 2026

(Continued...)
Read more on: NPR


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University

  • The Iran War’s Unexpected Victims: American Farmers
    By: MS Now – May 8, 2026
  • Trump Agriculture Chief Claims ‘Golden Age’ Is Coming. US Farmers Say They’re ‘Barely, Barely Getting By’
    By: Common Dreams – May 7, 2026
  • Steep Fertilizer and Fuel Prices Could Squeeze US Farmers For Months to Come
    By: WPR – May 6, 2026
  • The Iran War: Farmers in Brazil and Argentina Face Rising Fertilizer and Energy Prices
    By: Ag News – May 6, 2026


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Monday, May 4, 2026

Members in the News: May 4, 2026

 David Ortega, Michigan State University
Ariel Ortiz-Bobea,
Cornell University
Richard Volpe,
California Polytechnic State University

Tariffs, War, and Now a Historic Drought Have Converged into a ‘Perfect Storm’ for U.S. Farmers and Food Prices

By: Yahoo! Finance – April 21, 2026

 “What’s unique about the current moment is that you have this perfect storm of factors.”

“It’s unusually dry in various parts of the country. It’s been hitting hard in the Central Plains and in parts of the South, all along the Cotton Belt.”

“What I think we’re going to see is a one-two punch of higher energy prices and higher fertilizer costs.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Yahoo! Finance


Shawn Arita, North Dakota State University

High Urea Prices Likely to Linger

By: Brownfield Ag News Online – April 23, 2026

“Even in the most optimistic scenario, we are still seeing $600 to $700 well through the fall period. Through 2027 we see prices along the $500 to $600 range. It was about $400 to $500 before the crisis.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Brownfield Ag News Online


Amitrajeet Batabyal, Rochester Institute of Technology

Can a Participation Deficit Explain India’s Low Per Capita Income?

By: Basis Point Insight – April 29, 2026

“India presents a striking development paradox: despite sustaining GDP growth of 6-7% annually for three decades, its per capita income remains among the lowest of major economies—approximately $2,400, compared with China’s $12,500. New research argues that conventional explanations—population size, inequality, or sectoral composition—are insufficient.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Basis Point Insight


Michael Langemeier, Purdue University
Joana Colussi,
Purdue University

Rising Costs Force Farmers to Rebuild Budgets in Real Time

By: RFD TV – April 24, 2026

“While overall inflation has cooled from highs seen in recent years, the same can’t be said for input costs. Increases in farm input costs do not always align with inflation. Worse, farm cost increases tend to be more unpredictable and impact farmers more quickly than consumer inflation.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: RFD TV


Kenneth Foster, Purdue University
Bernhard Dalheimer,
Purdue University
David Ortega,
Michigan State University

Why the Iran War Might Not Raise Your Grocery Bill Until Next Year

By: Yahoo! Finance – April 26, 2026

“If the conflict persists and starts to affect the prices that farmers pay for the ‘27 crop, then you start to see real food price effects in ‘27,”

“Where could that shock be seen first? It’s in dairy where the transportation cost share is highest, and we need to cool the dairy all the way through.”

“Higher diesel prices — which were down slightly this week from earlier this month, averaging about $5.40 per gallon — are worth watching for their impacts on food prices.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Yahoo! Finance


Andrew Van Leuven, University of Vermont

Vermont’s Love-Hate Relationship With Fast Food

By: Vermont Public – April 23, 2026

“We may overstate our value for mom and pop, while still being huge, maybe, closeted fans of, you know, McNuggets and Crunchwrap Supremes. I still think people do want these, we could say, we can call them amenities, right, within a reasonable distance.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Vermont Public


David Ortega, Michigan State University

"Demand Destruction: How the Iran War Could Rattle or Break the US Economy"

By: CNN - April 30, 2026 

“It can take the better part of six months, (or) even longer, to feel the full impacts of this shock reflected in food prices."

(Continued...)
Read more on: CNN


Jeffrey Dorfman, North Carolina State University

Can Farmers Get Tariff Money Back? New Portal Raises Questions

By: Farm Progress – April 29, 2026

“Farmers will not be applying for refunds, as that will be done by whoever directly paid the tariff to the federal government. It is possible that some companies will issue refunds to customers on a “pass-through basis,” but some are skeptical that this will happen. We also may see implicit refunds to farmers through lower prices on future purchases, as importing firms try to keep good customers happy and loyal.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Farm Progress


Kenneth Foster, Purdue University

“‘Drop Like a Rock’: Trump Says Gas Prices Will Plummet When Iran War Ends, Despite Current Climate

By: 14 News – April 30, 2026  

“There is typically a 3- to 6-month lag between an energy price shock and an increase in retail food prices. The lag can be up to a year for packaged foods with a longer shelf life.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: 14 News


Peter Orazem, Iowa State University
Aakansha Jain,
Iowa State University

Iowa State College Graduates Left For Bigger Cities, But They're Returning to Iowa

By: Axios – April 21, 2026  

“The reasons behind the returns aren't clear. One theory is that Iowans are returning to raise families here because of cheaper housing, decent schools and proximity to relatives.”

“Rural areas aren't seeing those returns, potentially reflecting limited job opportunities, especially outside agriculture, and fewer services such as health care and retirement options.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Axios


Stephen Koontz, Colorado State University

Grain Markets Challenge Farmers the Rest of 2026

By: High Plains Journal – May 1, 2026

“The strong exports have been very good—but world supplies of course grains are tight compared to the United States, so if you want corn then you are coming here. The U.S. price has been the lowest in the world. The good news is that we are on the way to export our enormous crop.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: High Plains Journal


Hunter Biram, University of Arkansas

Ag, Food Economics Are Hard to Simplify

By: Magnolia Reporter – May 3, 2026

“Consumers who see parallels between crude oil and gas prices might expect the same for food, but what seems like a straightforward relationship between prices at the farm and prices at the grocery store is anything but simple. Making a direct connection between the two “is extremely difficult.”

(Continued...)
Read more on: Magnolia Reporter



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